FX & Commodity Almanac

Grains & softs · World Bank monthly average

What is the Wheat (US hard red winter) price and how has it changed?

Wheat (US hard red winter) averaged 347.0 US dollars per metric ton in September 2026, according to the World Bank Pink Sheet. That is 5.2% above Aug 2026 and 48.4% above Sept 2025, and in the top quarter of all monthly averages since January 2000.

Sept 2026 average
347.0$/mt · US dollars per metric ton
Month on month
▲ +5.2%from 330.0 in Aug 2026
Year on year
▲ +48.4%from 233.8 in Sept 2025
12-month range
230.8–347.0low Oct 2025 · high Sept 2026

The last five years

Wheat (US hard red winter), monthly average price, last five yearsWheat (US hard red winter) from 337.6 $/mt in Sept 2021 to 347.0 in Sept 2026; five-year high 522.3 (May 2022), low 230.8 (Oct 2025). 200250300350400450500550 20222023202420252026
Monthly averages, Sept 2021 – Sept 2026, $/mt. Yellow dot: latest month.

What the record shows

  1. Over five years the price ranged from 230.8 (Oct 2025) to 522.3 (May 2022). Sept 2026 sits 40% of the way from that low to the high.
  2. Since January 2000 the record high is 522.3 (May 2022) and the low 105.1 (Apr 2000). The latest month is higher than 90% of the 321 monthly averages in that span, in nominal dollars (not adjusted for inflation).
  3. The highest full-year average since 2000 was 2022 (430.0); the lowest was 2000 (114.1).
  4. Annualised volatility of monthly changes over the past five years was 21.1%, close to the 22.0% for the whole record since 2000. Monthly averages smooth out intra-month swings, so daily markets move more than this.
  5. Five years earlier, in Sept 2021, the average was 337.6: the price is 2.8% above that level.

Yearly averages

Wheat (US hard red winter) yearly average, change, high month and low month
YearAveragevs prior yearHighest monthLowest month
2026 9 mo. 293.5 ▲ +20.6% 347.0 Sep 249.9 Jan
2025 243.4 ▼ −9.4% 264.6 Feb 230.8 Oct
2024 268.7 ▼ −21.1% 289.4 May 250.9 Aug
2023 340.4 ▼ −20.8% 394.8 Feb 283.6 Nov
2022 430.0 ▲ +36.4% 522.3 May 374.2 Jan
2021 315.3 ▲ +36.1% 379.5 Nov 273.1 Mar
2020 231.6 ▲ +14.8% 273.0 Nov 198.4 Jun
2019 201.7 ▼ −3.9% 219.0 Feb 181.1 Aug
2018 209.9 ▲ +20.5% 236.6 Aug 192.2 Jan
2017 174.2 ▲ +4.5% 202.5 Jul 153.2 Jan
2016 166.6 ▼ −18.5% 193.3 Jan 141.8 Dec
2015 204.4 ▼ −28.2% 248.4 Jan 172.7 Sep
2014 284.9 ▼ −8.8% 334.7 May 243.6 Sep
2013 312.3 ▼ −0.3% 335.5 Jan 291.6 Dec
2012 313.3 ▼ −1.0% 360.8 Nov 264.4 May
2011 316.3 ▲ +41.4% 355.3 May 269.0 Dec
2010 223.6 ▼ −0.2% 306.5 Dec 157.7 Jun
2009 224.1 ▼ −31.3% 261.5 May 191.1 Sep
2008 326.0 ▲ +27.8% 439.7 Mar 220.1 Dec
2007 255.2 ▲ +32.9% 368.6 Dec 195.7 May
2006 192.0 ▲ +26.1% 212.1 Oct 167.2 Jan

Average = simple mean of the monthly averages published for that year. Rows in italics are incomplete years. Table shows 2006 onward; the charts and statistics use the full record from Jan 2000.

Since January 2000

Wheat (US hard red winter), monthly average price since January 2000Wheat (US hard red winter) monthly averages from Jan 2000 to Sept 2026; highest 522.3 $/mt in May 2022, lowest 105.1 in Apr 2000. 100200300400500600 200020032006200920122015201820212024
Monthly averages, nominal US dollars ($/mt).

Largest one-month moves since 2000

MonthFromToMove
Aug 2010195.8246.2▲ +25.7%
Sept 2007259.7326.5▲ +25.7%
Jul 2012276.2345.7▲ +25.2%
Mar 2022390.5486.3▲ +24.5%
Jul 2010157.7195.8▲ +24.2%

What exactly is being priced?

Wheat (U.S.), no. 2 hard red winter, Gulf export price. The World Bank publishes the series as a monthly average in US dollars per metric ton ($/mt). Benchmark definitions occasionally change, as noted above, so very long comparisons mix slightly different contracts. See commodity price units explained for converting units.

Sources